TO: | Members of the Legislative Commission on Pensions and Retirement |
FROM: | Lawrence A. Martin, Executive Director |
RE: | S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. ___ ( ):
PERA; Contribution Increases, Benefit Modifications, Coverage Changes, and Additional State Aid S.F. ___ ( ); H.F. 855 (Mares): PERA; Contribution Increases, Benefit Modifications, and Coverage Changes |
DATE: | March 2, 2001 |
General Summary of S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. ___ ( ):
S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. _____ ( ) amends various provisions of Minnesota Statutes, Chapter 273, relating to local property taxes and state aid to local governments; Chapter 353, relating to the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA); and Chapter 356, relating to public retirement generally; by making the following changes with respect to PERA General Employee Retirement Plan (PERA-General) and Public Employees Police and Fire Retirement Plan (PERA-P&F):
General Summary of S.F. ( ); H.F. 855 (Mares)
S.F. _____ ( ); H.F. 855 (Mares) is identical to S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. _____ ( ) as summarized above, EXCEPT it does not include the increased state aid to PERA employing units (point 8, above) or an increased PERA-General employer additional contribution rate (point 9, above).
Section-By-Section Summaries
A section-by-section summary of S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. ____ ( ) and a section-by-section summary of S.F. _____ ( ); H.F. 855 (Mares) are attached.
Background Information on the PERA Funding Problem
|
Note: $123,456,000 indicates an actuarial loss
($987,654,000) indicates an actuarial gain
The period 1985-2000, as assessed by the annual actuarial valuation gain and loss analysis, reflects significant salary gains (gains in 13 of the 16 years, averaging almost $65 million per year of gain), very significant investment gains (gains in 13 of the 16 years, averaging over $135 million per year of gain), modest retiree mortality losses (losses in 13 of the 16 years, averaging $10 million per year of loss), mixed gains and losses in other benefit recipient mortality (gains in 9 years and losses in 7 years), and relatively significant "other" losses (losses in 15 of 16 years, averaging over $85 million per year of loss).
Assumption |
Analysis Observation/Conclusion |
Recommendation |
Interest |
Investment experience was favorable, averaging 12.9 percent, compared to the preretirement assumption of 8.5 percent. |
Recommended retention of both the preretirement interest rate assumption and the postretirement interest rate assumption. |
Salary Increase |
Salary increases averaged 5.5 percent, with increases both age and service related and with the strongest correlation to service. |
Recommended breaking the assumption into two components, a base increase assumption and a merit and longevity increase assumption. Recommended base increase rate of 4.5 percent and development of an assumption based on an age, service, or both by the plan and Commission actuaries. |
Payroll Growth |
Flat 6.5 percent assumption ignores the potential for increases/decreases in the number of active members and the impact of replacement active members. |
Recommended breaking the assumption into two components, a base salary increase assumption and a total active membership growth assumption. |
Retirement |
Single age retirement assumption does not reflect the actual experience of retiring members, especially related to the utilization of the "Rule of 90" early normal retirement age. Period results also reflect the impact of early retirement incentives. |
Recommended the development of an age-related retirement decrement table to more closely reflect future expected retirement patterns. |
Optional Annuity Selection |
Number of married retiring active members probably greater in the Basic Program than the Coordinated Program, based on the utilization of the subsidized joint and survivor optional annuity form. |
Recommended no change. |
Active Member Disablement |
Actual disability rates are well below expected, especially for females. |
Recommended that the disablement rates should be reduced, especially for females. |
Active Terminations |
Total active terminations are close to the assumption, but withdrawal rates are strongly correlated with both service and age. Potential data inconsistencies also exist. |
Recommended that specific select and ultimate withdrawal tables be developed. |
Annuitant Mortality |
Annuitant mortality has been considerable below expected, especially ages 65-84. |
Strongly recommended strengthening of the mortality assumption. |
Disabled Mortality |
Assumption is favorable, but relatively close to reality. |
Recommended retention of assumption. |
Active Mortality |
Assumption experience is unfavorable. |
Recommended consideration of a separate table with strengthened assumption. |
The assumption changes recommended by the actuary retained by the Commission were approved by the Commission in February, 2000. The July 1, 2000 PERA-General actuarial valuation, in addition to the $207.2 million net experience gain, also reflected a $736.5 million increase in the unfunded actuarial accrued liability on account of actuarial assumption changes and a $44.9 increase in the unfunded actuarial accrued liability on account of actuarial method changes (i.e., the redefinition of the actuarial value of assets).
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
||||||
Membership |
||||||||||
Active Members |
129,431 |
130,865 |
136,166 |
137,528 |
135,560 |
|||||
Service Retirees |
32,906 |
34,168 |
36,187 |
38,077 |
39,940 |
|||||
Disabilitants |
1,051 |
1,115 |
1,223 |
1,301 |
1,397 |
|||||
Survivors |
5,423 |
5,531 |
5,732 |
5,881 |
6,010 |
|||||
Deferred Retirees |
8,605 |
10,817 |
10,817 |
16,340 |
21,495 |
|||||
Nonvested Former Members |
11,448 |
15,162 |
15,162 |
18,491 |
79,362 |
|||||
Total Membership |
188,864 |
197,658 |
205,287 |
217,618 |
283,764 |
|||||
Funded Status |
||||||||||
Accrued Liability |
$7,270,073,000 |
$8,049,666,000 |
$8,769,303,000 |
$9,443,678,000 |
$11,133,682,000 |
|||||
Current Assets |
$5,786,398,000 |
$6,658,410,000 |
$7,636,668,000 |
$8,489,177,000 |
$9,609,367,000 |
|||||
Unfunded Accrued Liability |
$1,483,675,000 |
$1,391,256,000 |
$1,132,635,000 |
$954,501,000 |
$1,524,315,000 |
|||||
Funding Ratio |
79.59% |
82.72% |
87.08% |
89.89% |
86.31% |
|||||
Financing Requirements |
||||||||||
Covered Payroll |
$3,073,106,000 |
$3,214,578,000 |
$3,385,720,000 |
$3,544,488,000 |
$3,602,750,000 |
|||||
Benefits Payable |
$312,511,000 |
$342,154,000 |
$412,746,000 |
$467,602,000 |
$527,119,000 |
|||||
Normal Cost |
6.85% |
$210,507,761 |
7.11% |
$228,459,000 |
7.61% |
$257,628,000 |
7.49% |
$265,778,000 |
9.33% |
$336,088,000 |
Administrative Expenses |
0.19% |
$5,838,901 |
0.18% |
$5,786,000 |
0.22% |
$7,449,000 |
0.28% |
$9,925,000 |
0.23% |
$8,286,000 |
Normal Cost & Expense |
7.04% |
$216,346,662 |
7.29% |
$234,245,000 |
7.83% |
$265,077,000 |
7.77% |
$275,703,000 |
9.56% |
$344,374,000 |
Normal Cost & Expense |
7.04% |
$216,346,662 |
7.29% |
$234,245,000 |
7.83% |
$265,077,000 |
7.77% |
$275,703,000 |
9.56% |
$344,374,000 |
Amortization |
2.71% |
$83,281,173 |
2.51% |
$80,686,000 |
2.01% |
$68,053,000 |
1.67% |
$59,193,000 |
2.38% |
$85,745,000 |
Total Requirements |
9.75% |
$299,627,835 |
9.80% |
$314,931,000 |
9.84% |
$333,130,000 |
9.44% |
$334,896,000 |
11.94% |
$430,119,000 |
Employee Contributions |
4.29% |
$131,836,247 |
4.55% |
$146,127,000 |
4.79% |
$162,179,000 |
4.78% |
$169,398,000 |
4.77% |
$171,898,000 |
Employer Contributions |
4.58% |
$140,748,255 |
4.92% |
$158,067,000 |
5.24% |
$177,504,000 |
5.23% |
$185,221,000 |
5.21% |
$187,823,000 |
Employer Add'l Cont. |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
Direct State Funding |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
Other Govt. Funding |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
Admin Assessment |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
0.00% |
$0 |
Total Contributions |
8.88% |
$272,584,502 |
9.47% |
$304,194,000 |
10.03% |
$339,683,000 |
10.01% |
$354,619,000 |
9.98% |
$359,721,000 |
Total Requirements |
9.75% |
$299,627,835 |
9.80% |
$314,931,000 |
9.84% |
$333,130,000 |
9.44% |
$334,896,000 |
11.94% |
$430,119,000 |
Total Contributions |
8.88% |
$272,584,502 |
9.47% |
$304,194,000 |
10.03% |
$339,683,000 |
10.01% |
$354,619,000 |
9.98% |
$359,721,000 |
Deficiency (Surplus) |
0.87% |
$27,043,333 |
0.33% |
$10,737,000 |
(0.19%) |
($6,553,000) |
(0.57%) |
($19,723,000) |
1.96% |
$70,398,000 |
Amortization Target Date |
2020 |
2020 |
2020 |
2020 |
2024 |
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Actuary |
Milliman & Robertson |
Milliman & Robertson |
Milliman & Robertson |
Milliman & Robertson |
Milliman & Robertson |
Discussion
S.F. 810 (Pogemiller); H.F. _____ ( ) and S.F. _____ ( ); H.F. 855 (Mares) attempt to resolve the funding deficiency situation of the General Employees Retirement Plan of the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA-General) by making several changes:
The two highly similar pieces of proposed pension legislation raise several pension and related public policy issues, including the following:
a. Appropriateness of Membership Eligibility Changes. The policy issue is the appropriateness of the changes proposed in eligibility for PERA-General, PERA-P&F, and PERA Local Correctional Employees membership. Among a large number of changes in the PERA definition of "public employee" and specific inclusions in and exclusions from plan membership, the current exclusion of employees receiving a monthly salary under $425 is eliminated, thereby potentially broadening the PERA-General membership, while exclusions from membership for seasonal employees (serving less than 185 consecutive calendar days during a business year) and sheltered employment or work-study employees are added. It is unclear whether the changes will result in a net expansion or contraction in the PERA-General membership and whether or not any newly included PERA-General members will produce additional turnover gains. The membership change article appears to contain a number of provisions that were potentially controversial or problematic from the 2000 Session H.F. 1444 (Krinkie); S.F. 1468 (Stevens), which the Commission declined to recommend. Testimony from potentially affected employer or employee groups on these changes should be requested by the Commission prior to taking final action.
|
S.F. 810 (Pogemiller) |
H.F. 855 (Mares) |
8/1/2000 |
0.75% |
-- |
1/1/2002 |
0.375% |
0.375% |
1/1/2004 |
0.25% |
0.25% |
Total |
2.00% |
1.25% |
Given that the contribution rate increases under S.F. 810 (Pogemiller) accomplish the goal of eliminating the current PERA shortfall, it is unclear what is further to be gained by the various membership, benefit and actuarial method changes provided for in that bill.
n. Consequences of Inaction. The policy issue is the consequences for PERA-General if the Commission and the Legislature decide to review the situation for a while longer. The proposed legislation sponsored by the PERA Board is not a precipitous remedy, with the contribution increases largely delayed into the future, with many of the benefit changes not effective for 18 months, and with many of the benefit changes impacting only on future PERA-General members. The actuary retained by the Commission is currently conducting a quadrennial experience study on Minnesota State Retirement System General, PERA-General, and TRA, with the results expected in late April or May, 2001. Additional actuarial assumption changes for PERA-General may be necessary as a result of that study, which could make any remedy assembled by the 2001 Commission and Legislature either inadequate or unnecessary. Recommendations on actuarial assumption changes arising out of the 2001 experience study would not be presented for Commission and Legislative action until the 2002 Session. A delay in corrective action for one year would likely increase the $1.5 billion PERA-General unfunded actuarial accrued liability by $70+ million.