TO: |
Members of the Legislative Commission on Pensions and Retirement |
FROM: |
Lawrence A. Martin, Executive Director |
|
|
DATE: |
August 15, 2001 |
Introduction
Quadrennially, the consulting actuary retained by the Legislative Commission on Pensions and Retirement is required by statute and contract to prepare an experience study for each of the three largest Minnesota public employee pension plans, namely the General State Employees Retirement Plan of the Minnesota State Retirement System (MSRS-General), the General Employee Retirement Plan of the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA-General), and the Teachers Retirement Association (TRA). The consulting actuary, Milliman USA (formerly Milliman & Robertson, Inc.) completed work on the most recent set of quadrennial experience studies for the three retirement plans on May 29, 2001. Also, under a separate agreement with the various Minnesota retirement plans, Milliman USA competed a study on February 23, 2001, on the liability impact of the Combined Service Annuity portability provisions. Additionally, the three first class city teacher retirement fund associations (the Duluth Teachers Retirement Fund Association (DTRFA), the Minneapolis Teachers Retirement Fund Association (MTRFA), and the St. Paul Teachers Retirement Fund Association (StPTRFA)) have independently contracted with Milliman USA to prepare special experience studies for each plan for the period 1994-2000. This memorandum summarizes those six experience studies, the Combined Service Annuity liability study, and the probable or actual recommendations by Milliman USA for changes in actuarial assumptions.
Quadrennial Experience Study Requirement
The Legislative Commission on Pensions and Retirement is required under Minnesota Statutes, Section 3.85, to contract with an established actuarial consulting firm to prepare annual actuarial valuations of fourteen statewide or major local Minnesota public employee pension plans and to prepare experience studies for the General State Employees Retirement Plan of the Minnesota State Retirement System (MSRS-General), the General Employee Retirement Plan of the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA-General), and the Teachers Retirement Association (TRA) on a quadrennial basis. Minnesota Statutes, Section 356.215, specifies the content requirements of both the annual actuarial valuation reports and quadrennial experience studies. The quadrennial experience study is required to contain an actuarial analysis of the experience of the plan and a comparison of that plan experience with the actuarial assumptions in force for the most recent annual actuarial experience. The standards for actuarial work, issued by the Commission, specify the detailed contents and format requirements for both the actuarial valuation reports and the experience studies.
The purpose of the quadrennial experience studies is to provide the Commission with a periodic opportunity to review the accuracy of the current actuarial assumptions, compared to the experience for the most recent period and to revise those actuarial assumptions based on the recommendation for the Commission’s consulting actuary and on input from plan administrators, their actuarial consultants, and others.
Minnesota public pension plan actuarial assumptions are specified in part in statute (interest/investment return, individual salary increase, and payroll growth) and specified in part with Commission approval (the balance of all actuarial assumptions).
Summary of Recent Experience Studies
Table 1 summarizes the recent experience studies prepared by Milliman USA for the General State Employees Retirement Plan of the Minnesota State Retirement System (MSRS-General), the General Employee Retirement Plan of the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA-General), the Teachers Retirement Association (TRA), the Duluth Teachers Retirement Fund Association (DTRFA), the Minneapolis Teachers Retirement Fund Association (MTRFA), and the St. Paul Teachers Retirement Fund Association (StPTRFA). The table summarizes the experience of each plan in comparison to seven actuarial assumptions:
Interest/Investment Return (Market Value)
Salary Increase
Payroll Growth
Retirement
Under Age 65
Over Age 65
Disability
Male
Female
Terminations
All Terminations
Male
Female
Terminations With Over Three Years Of Service
Male
Female
Mortality
Annuitants
Male
Female
Disabilitants
Male
Female
Active Members
Male
Female
Based on the percentage comparison of the actual occurrences with the expected occurrences under the actuarial assumptions, the experience is either favorable from the plan’s perspective (reduces liabilities) or unfavorable from the plan’s perspective (increases liabilities), as follows:
Interest/Investment Return: Investment earnings in excess of the actuarial assumption are an actuarial gain and reduce accrued liabilities, offsetting the need for contributions.
Salary Increase: Individual salary increases in excess of the actuarial assumption are an actuarial loss and increase accrued liabilities, because a larger salary produces a larger future projected retirement annuity, creating a need for contributions.
Payroll Growth: Total payroll growth in excess of the actuarial assumption relates to the amortization of the unfunded actuarial accrued liability of the plan, with a greater total payroll providing greater base over which to spread the associated amortization contribution.
Retirement: Retirement before age 65, the general normal retirement age, generally produce actuarial losses. Retirement after age 65, the general normal retirement age, produces actuarial gains for the pension plan.
Disability: Because disability benefits are a full accrued retirement benefit paid at an early age, disabilities in excess of the disability assumption produce an actuarial loss.
Terminations: Because a terminating employee releases more liability than the person takes in a refund, terminations in excess of the actuarial assumption will produce an actuarial gain unless the terminating member ultimately qualifies for a combined service annuity.
Mortality: Mortality (the number of deaths) greater than assumed produces an actuarial gain with respect to annuitants, with respect to disabilitants, and, unless a substantial survivorship benefit is involved, with respect to active members.
Summary Of The Combined Service Annuity Study
Upon the request of the executive directors of the Minnesota State Retirement System (MSRS), the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA), and the Teachers Retirement Association (TRA), and at their expense, Milliman USA competed a study of the actuarial liability shifts under the Combined Service Annuity provision, Minnesota Statutes, Section 356.30.
The Combined Service Annuity provision was enacted in 1975 and permits most Minnesota public pension plan members with service credit in more than one plan to vest with their multiple service and to receive retirement annuities in total that would essentially match the benefit payable by any one of the plans for the total service. For the pension plan or plans covering early periods of service credit, the Combined Service Annuity provision results in incurring greater actuarial accrued liabilities in fact because of the new salary figure that the plan or plans anticipated without knowledge of the subsequent service credit and average salary.
In preparing the Combined Service Annuity study, Milliman USA combined the active and inactive member databases of the Minnesota public pension plans covered by the Combined Service Annuity provision, determined the additional actuarial liability for all members potentially able to benefit from the portability provision, and allocated the additional actuarial liability back to the various plans based on the proportion of total service credit in each plan. The analysis produced the following results:
Number of Active Members With Combined Service
Members Valued as Active in 7/1/2000 Actuarial Valuations
Prior or |
PERA General |
PERA P&F |
PERA Local Correctional |
MSRS State Employees |
MSRS State Patrol |
MSRS Correctional |
MSRS Legislators |
MSRS Elected |
MSRS Judges |
TRA |
Duluth Teachers |
St. Paul Teachers |
Minneapolis Teachers |
MERF |
Subtotal |
PERA General |
220 |
177 |
94 |
1,753 |
2 |
43 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
1,353 |
3 |
48 |
52 |
97 |
3,847 |
PERA P&F |
1,946 |
0 |
59 |
65 |
14 |
26 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
2,174 |
PERA Local Correctional |
2,088 |
54 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2,195 |
MSRS State Employees |
2,817 |
32 |
14 |
0 |
3 |
233 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
501 |
1 |
22 |
11 |
12 |
3,652 |
MSRS State Patrol |
73 |
173 |
2 |
27 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
290 |
MSRS Correctional |
192 |
17 |
45 |
622 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
932 |
MSRS Legislators |
27 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
MSRS Elected |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
MSRS Judges |
68 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
TRA |
5,430 |
11 |
8 |
582 |
2 |
18 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
327 |
526 |
6 |
7,016 |
Duluth Teachers |
87 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
294 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
410 |
St. Paul Teachers |
546 |
1 |
4 |
72 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
838 |
0 |
0 |
205 |
1 |
1,669 |
Minneapolis Teachers |
612 |
0 |
7 |
78 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,011 |
0 |
99 |
2 |
8 |
1,820 |
MERF |
20 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
Subtotal |
14,126 |
465 |
233 |
3,268 |
22 |
346 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
4,156 |
104 |
503 |
801 |
127 |
24,181 |
Number of Former Members With Combined Service
Members Valued as Inactive in 7/1/2000 Actuarial Valuations
Prior or |
PERA General |
PERA P&F |
PERA Local Correctional |
MSRS State Employees |
MSRS State Patrol |
MSRS Correctional |
MSRS Legislators |
MSRS Elected |
MSRS Judges |
TRA |
Duluth Teachers |
St. Paul Teachers |
Minneapolis Teachers |
MERF |
Subtotal |
PERA General |
22 |
23 |
0 |
284 |
0 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
0 |
30 |
32 |
15 |
641 |
PERA P&F |
52 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
PERA Local Correctional |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
MSRS State Employees |
282 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
374 |
MSRS State Patrol |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
MSRS Correctional |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
MSRS Legislators |
3 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
MSRS Elected |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
MSRS Judges |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
TRA |
475 |
3 |
0 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
137 |
0 |
727 |
Duluth Teachers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
St. Paul Teachers |
13 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
48 |
Minneapolis Teachers |
12 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
MERF |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Subtotal |
862 |
33 |
0 |
375 |
0 |
24 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
340 |
0 |
80 |
177 |
17 |
1,921 |
Resulting Likely Additional Pension Liability From Portability
Present Value of Future Benefits
(dollars in thousands)
|
VALUATION METHODOLOGY |
CSA STUDY METHODOLOGY |
|||||
Fund |
Current |
Members |
Former Members |
Subtotal |
Members |
Former Members |
Subtotal |
PERA General |
2.5% |
8,856,550 |
406,633 |
9,263,183 |
8,722,572 |
683,448 |
9,406,020 |
PERA P&F |
- |
2,560,513 |
45,793 |
2,606,306 |
2,558,037 |
63,453 |
2,621,490 |
PERA Local Correctional |
- |
106,084 |
0 |
106,084 |
88,523 |
0 |
88,523 |
MSRS State Employees |
- |
4,776,013 |
419,457 |
5,195,470 |
4,792,783 |
584,194 |
5,376,977 |
MSRS State Patrol |
- |
311,750 |
3,345 |
315,095 |
311,388 |
4,383 |
315,771 |
MSRS Correctional |
- |
353,929 |
15,104 |
369,033 |
346,900 |
24,028 |
370,928 |
MSRS Legislators |
- |
24,935 |
8,884 |
33,819 |
25,773 |
13,865 |
39,638 |
MSRS Elected |
- |
0 |
572 |
572 |
0 |
769 |
769 |
MSRS Judges |
- |
99,664 |
697 |
100,361 |
99,299 |
708 |
100,007 |
TRA |
1.0% |
8,547,643 |
488,816 |
9,036,459 |
8,584,640 |
503,015 |
9,087,655 |
Duluth Teachers |
- |
133,868 |
6,463 |
140,331 |
149,187 |
6,463 |
155,650 |
St. Paul Teachers |
- |
591,534 |
6,990 |
598,524 |
634,187 |
29,261 |
663,448 |
Minneapolis Teachers |
- |
764,076 |
19,212 |
783,288 |
796,225 |
77,839 |
874,064 |
MERF |
- |
431,393 |
9,342 |
440,735 |
432,018 |
20,464 |
452,482 |
GRAND TOTAL |
27,557,952 |
1,431,308 |
28,989,260 |
27,541,532 |
2,011,890 |
29,533,423 |
Likely or Actual Actuarial Assumption Change Recommendations
Arising out of the six experience studies and the Combined Service Annuity study recently competed, Milliman USA has formulated or will be developing specific actuarial assumption change recommendations.
The following compares the likely actuarial assumption change recommendations (for the General State Employees Retirement Plan of the Minnesota State Retirement System (MSRS-General), the General Employee Retirement Plan of the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA-General), and the Teachers Retirement Association (TRA)) and the actual actuarial assumption change recommendations (for the Duluth Teachers Retirement Fund Association (DTRFA), the Minneapolis Teachers Retirement Fund Association (MTRFA), and the St. Paul Teachers Retirement Fund Association (StPTRFA)) formulated by Milliman USA:
Assumption |
MSRS-General |
PERA-General |
TRA |
DTRFA |
MTRFA |
StPTRFA |
Interest |
No change |
No change |
No change |
No change |
No change |
No change |
Individual Salary Increase |
Potential change |
Increase in |
Increase in |
Change to select and ultimate assumption |
Change to select and ultimate assumption |
Change to select and ultimate assumption |
Total Payroll Growth |
Change dependent on future State employee workforce expectations |
No Change |
No Change |
No specific indication |
No specific indication |
No specific indication |
Retirement Rates |
Change to reflect greater early retirement experience |
Change to reflect greater "Rule of 90" utilization |
Change to reflect greater "Rule of 90" utilization |
No change |
Change to reflect greater early retirement utilization |
Change to reflect greater early retirement utilization |
Optional Annuity Form Election |
Minor modifications |
Minor modifications |
Minor modifications |
Minor modifications |
Minor modifications |
Minor modifications |
Disability Rates |
Minor modifications |
No change |
Significant increase in rates |
Significant reduction in rates |
Reduction in rates |
Reduction in rates |
Separation Rates |
Significant increases in both select and ultimate rates |
Adjustment to soften the prior assumption changes |
Modest modifications |
Change to select and ultimate assumption |
Change to select and ultimate assumption reflecting a higher turn-over problem |
Change to select and ultimate assumption reflecting a higher turn-over problem |
Annuitant Mortality |
Likely additional setback for males |
Likely additional setback for males |
Likely change in setbacks |
Reduction in setback for females |
Change in setback for females |
No change |
Disabilitant Mortality |
No change likely |
No change likely |
No change likely |
No change |
No change |
No change |
Active Mortality |
No change likely |
No change likely |
Minor modifications likely |
Minor modifications |
Adoption of TRA active mortality table |
Additional setback |
Combined Service Annuity Loading |
1.2 percent load on active member liabilities, 40 percent load on former member liabilities |
0.8 percent load on active member liabilities, 60 percent load on former member liabilities |
Initial 1.4 percent load on active member liabilities, 4.0 percent load on former member liabilities, with modification for retirement rate change |
10 percent load on active and former member liabilities |
4.0 percent load on active member liabilities and 30 percent load on former member liabilities |
7.0 percent load on active member liabilities and 30 percent load on former member liabilities |
Additionally, for the statewide and major local retirement plans which were not covered by the experience studies, Milliman USA has formulated load factor recommendations arising out of the Combined Service Annuity Provisions study, as follows:
Plan |
Active Member Liability Load |
Former Member Liability Load |
Legislators |
-- |
30% |
MSRS-Correctional |
-- |
30% |
State Patrol |
-- |
30% |
Elected State Officers |
-- |
30% |
PERA-P&F |
-- |
30% |
Local Correctional |
-- |
30% |
MERF |
0.2% |
30% |
Judges |
-- |
30% |
Conclusion
Because changes are contemplated for both individual salary increase and total payroll assumptions, which are statutory assumptions, the total package of assumption changes can not be accomplished until the next legislative session. The recommended changes for the three major retirement plans still need to be fully developed by Milliman USA in consultation with the various plan administrators and the plan actuarial consultants, so Commission action on at least some of the potential actuarial assumption changes will need to be delayed until early in the 2002 Legislative Session.